Phantasmal Flames Pull Rates – What Are Your Chances of Pulling Mega Charizard ex
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The Phantasmal Flames set is finally here, and one question is on everyone’s mind: “What are my chances of pulling Mega Charizard ex?” Thanks to large-scale pack openings and recorded data, we now have a good idea of the pull rates for the key rarities in this set.

Key Pull Rates at a Glance
Below is a simple breakdown of the average pull rates you can expect when opening Phantasmal Flames booster packs:
- Special Illustration Rares (SIRs): Approx. 1 in every 80 packs.
- Mega Charizard ex SIR: Around 1 in 400 packs (on average).
- Mega Hyper Rare (MHR) Mega Charizard ex: Around 1 in 1,260 packs – roughly one per 35 booster boxes (around six cases).
- Illustration Rares: About 1 in 9 packs.
- Ultra Rares: About 1 in 12 packs.
- Double Rares: About 1 in 5 packs, making them much easier to hit.
How Tough Is It to Pull Mega Charizard ex?
If you are specifically chasing Mega Charizard ex, you’re aiming for one of the rarest cards in the set. On average:
- The SIR version is already a tough chase at around 1 in 400 packs.
- The MHR version is even rarer, sitting at around 1 in 1,260 packs.
That means you’ll usually need to open a lot of product to see one – or get very lucky. It also explains why these cards are likely to command a premium on the secondary market once the set has been out for a while.
Collectors vs Players – What These Pull Rates Mean
The good news is that while the top chase cards are extremely rare, playable cards are much more accessible:
- Double Rares are hit roughly 1 in 5 packs, giving players a reasonable chance to pull what they need for decks.
- Ultra Rares are also frequent enough that building or upgrading a deck doesn’t feel impossible.
For collectors, the SIR and MHR cards are clearly long-odds pulls, which helps keep them special and desirable. For players, the higher hit rate on Double Rares and Ultra Rares means you can enjoy opening packs and still realistically work towards a competitive deck.
Should You Chase or Buy Singles?
With odds like these, it’s worth asking whether you should keep ripping packs or simply buy the singles you want:
- Chasing packs is ideal if you enjoy the excitement of opening product, trading with friends, and slowly building up your binder.
- Buying singles can often be cheaper and more predictable if you’re set on owning a specific high-end card like the Mega Charizard ex SIR or MHR.




A balanced approach works well for many players and collectors: open some sealed product for fun, then fill in the gaps with singles once prices begin to settle.
Tips Before You Buy Phantasmal Flames
- Set a budget. Mega Charizard ex is a serious chase card, so decide in advance how much you’re happy to spend.
- Know your goal. Are you collecting, playing, or a bit of both? Let that guide whether you prioritise booster boxes, elite trainer boxes, or singles.
- Accept variance. Pull rates are averages – some boxes will feel cracked, others will feel cold. That’s part of the game.
- Compare sealed vs singles. If you only want one or two key cards, singles might be the better route.
- Enjoy the experience. The thrill of opening packs, discovering new artwork, and building decks is what makes the Pokémon TCG so fun.
Final Thoughts on Phantasmal Flames Pull Rates
Phantasmal Flames delivers exactly what many fans hoped for: huge chase cards like Mega Charizard ex, supported by a healthy lineup of Illustration Rares, Ultra Rares, and Double Rares that keep packs exciting to open.
Whether you’re ripping cases in search of that elusive Mega Charizard ex or just grabbing a few packs for fun, understanding the pull rates helps set realistic expectations – and makes every big hit feel even more rewarding.